Betting Lines
| Spread | ACU -9.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 140.5 Under |
| Money | ETAM +360 ACU -500 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ETAM win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | ETAM +1 | 135 | Won |
| Massey | ACU -2.6 (+3.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 139.2 (-4.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 14% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 8% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | ACU -1.0 (+2.0) | 138.3 (-3.3) | 42% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | ACU -3.2 (+4.2) | 136.2 (-1.2) | 36% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | ACU -1.8 (+2.8) | 139.6 (-4.6) | 37% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | ACU -0.9 (+1.9) | 139.8 (-4.8) | 49% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 10, 2022 | ACU 83 – 64 ETAM |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | ETAM | ACU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 5-26 | 16-16 |
| Conference | 3-17 | 8-8 |
| Home | 4-10 | 10-5 |
| Away | 1-16 | 5-10 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 3-2 |
| Streak | W1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 64.4 | 67.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.9 | 71.0 |
| Massey | -9.6 (#320) | -2.7 (#206) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.32 (#336) | 0.31 (#145) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -3.21 (#338) | 0.11 (#157) |
| RPI | 0.410 (#316) | 0.518 (#137) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | ETAM | ACU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.8% | 44.7% |
| 3PT% | 30.8% | 30.4% |
| REB / G | 31.1 | 28.9 |
| OREB / G | 9.9 | 8.6 |
| AST / TO | 0.68 | 0.95 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.5% | 48.8% |
| TOV% | 25.4% | 17.9% |
| ORB% | 28.7% | 27.6% |
| FT Rate | 18.6% | 35.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 55.9% | 57.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.6% | 20.8% |
| DRB% | 66.2% | 73.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 28.0% | 37.7% |
Game Analysis
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