Betting Lines
| Spread | ACU -8.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 142.5 Over |
| Money | ACU -333 ETAM +333 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ACU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | ACU +19 | 147 | Won |
| Massey | ACU -0.6 (+18.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 138.5 (+8.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 50% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 46% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | ACU -0.4 (+18.6) | 139.0 (+8.0) | 54% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | ACU -0.5 (+18.5) | 139.8 (+7.2) | 59% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | ACU -0.8 (+18.2) | 141.5 (+5.5) | 54% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | ACU -1.1 (+17.9) | 140.1 (+6.9) | 58% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 18, 2024 | ETAM 68 – 67 ACU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | ACU | ETAM |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 13-17 | 13-20 |
| Conference | 7-11 | 9-9 |
| Home | 10-5 | 5-5 |
| Away | 5-8 | 7-12 |
| Neutral | 0-4 | 1-3 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L6 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.2 | 70.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.9 | 74.2 |
| Massey | -7.4 (#303) | -2.8 (#225) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.54 (#303) | -0.46 (#224) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.41 (#310) | -1.01 (#247) |
| RPI | 0.392 (#325) | 0.468 (#223) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | ACU | ETAM |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.3% | 40.8% |
| 3PT% | 38.4% | 27.2% |
| REB / G | 29.0 | 34.3 |
| OREB / G | 8.0 | 10.4 |
| AST / TO | 0.95 | 1.09 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.4% | 47.6% |
| TOV% | 22.2% | 17.1% |
| ORB% | 23.3% | 27.2% |
| FT Rate | 16.7% | 13.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 55.8% | 51.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 23.2% | 19.5% |
| DRB% | 71.0% | 74.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 33.3% | 31.8% |
Game Analysis
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