Betting Lines
| Spread | UNC -13.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 143.5 Under |
| Money | UNC -900 GT +700 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UNC win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UNC +16 | 134 | Won |
| Massey | UNC -13.3 (+2.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 151.1 (-17.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 90% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 97% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UNC -9.3 (+6.7) | 151.4 (-17.4) | 80% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UNC -11.8 (+4.2) | 151.5 (-17.5) | 85% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UNC -9.4 (+6.6) | 150.1 (-16.1) | 83% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UNC -8.9 (+7.1) | 151.0 (-17.0) | 80% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 31, 2026 | UNC 91 – 75 GT |
| Dec 7, 2024 | UNC 68 – 65 GT |
| Jan 31, 2024 | GT 74 – 73 UNC |
| Jan 16, 2022 | UNC 88 – 65 GT |
| Dec 5, 2021 | UNC 79 – 62 GT |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UNC | GT |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 20-13 | 15-18 |
| Conference | 11-9 | 6-14 |
| Home | 12-3 | 11-6 |
| Away | 4-7 | 3-9 |
| Neutral | 4-3 | 1-3 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 76.2 | 68.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.9 | 71.5 |
| Massey | 10.2 (#43) | 2.1 (#135) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.80 (#56) | 0.68 (#124) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.82 (#43) | 0.66 (#138) |
| RPI | 0.625 (#26) | 0.559 (#88) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UNC | GT |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.1% | 41.8% |
| 3PT% | 29.2% | 28.9% |
| REB / G | 38.6 | 36.5 |
| OREB / G | 10.2 | 12.1 |
| AST / TO | 0.93 | 1.13 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.0% | 46.1% |
| TOV% | 15.7% | 15.2% |
| ORB% | 28.6% | 32.9% |
| FT Rate | 33.4% | 20.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.3% | 46.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.1% | 19.3% |
| DRB% | 71.2% | 63.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 16.9% | 20.9% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.