Betting Lines
| Spread | URI -3.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 153.5 Over |
| Money | URI -150 TEM +130 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | URI win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | URI +6 | 164 | Won |
| Massey | URI -5.7 (+0.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 152.5 (+11.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 77% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 83% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | URI -4.0 (+2.0) | 150.1 (+13.9) | 64% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | URI -5.3 (+0.7) | 146.0 (+18.0) | 68% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | URI -4.7 (+1.3) | 146.0 (+18.0) | 65% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | URI -4.3 (+1.7) | 150.0 (+14.0) | 64% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 27, 2025 | URI 90 – 75 TEM |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | URI | TEM |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 18-13 | 17-15 |
| Conference | 7-11 | 9-9 |
| Home | 14-3 | 12-2 |
| Away | 1-9 | 3-9 |
| Neutral | 3-1 | 2-4 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 77.1 | 77.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.2 | 77.6 |
| Massey | 8.0 (#71) | 2.2 (#125) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.93 (#51) | 0.72 (#114) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.30 (#62) | 0.70 (#130) |
| RPI | 0.639 (#17) | 0.556 (#90) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | URI | TEM |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.3% | 42.8% |
| 3PT% | 35.8% | 30.2% |
| REB / G | 41.0 | 38.7 |
| OREB / G | 10.6 | 11.5 |
| AST / TO | 1.34 | 0.96 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.8% | 47.8% |
| TOV% | 16.1% | 14.9% |
| ORB% | 29.6% | 31.2% |
| FT Rate | 32.4% | 30.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 44.7% | 45.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.1% | 15.2% |
| DRB% | 73.1% | 66.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.1% | 21.8% |
Game Analysis
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