Betting Lines
| Spread | URI -3.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 149.5 Over |
| Money | TEM +136 URI -162 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | TEM win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | URI +15 | 165 | Lost |
| Massey | URI -8.4 (-6.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 151.3 (+13.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 10% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 3% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | URI -6.0 (-9.0) | 141.6 (+23.4) | 22% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | URI -6.7 (-8.3) | 144.6 (+20.4) | 23% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | URI -6.3 (-8.7) | 146.1 (+18.9) | 26% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | URI -6.9 (-8.1) | 142.2 (+22.8) | 21% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 21, 2024 | URI 85 – 79 TEM |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | TEM | URI |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-16 | 16-16 |
| Conference | 8-10 | 7-11 |
| Home | 10-6 | 10-6 |
| Away | 5-6 | 4-7 |
| Neutral | 1-4 | 2-3 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L2 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.0 | 69.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.2 | 68.2 |
| Massey | -0.6 (#180) | 7.8 (#71) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.19 (#196) | 2.02 (#46) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.23 (#190) | 3.36 (#45) |
| RPI | 0.484 (#200) | 0.554 (#104) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | TEM | URI |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.1% | 47.3% |
| 3PT% | 37.1% | 28.1% |
| REB / G | 35.0 | 34.7 |
| OREB / G | 9.8 | 12.3 |
| AST / TO | 1.69 | 0.89 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.8% | 52.8% |
| TOV% | 11.8% | 18.5% |
| ORB% | 28.9% | 38.7% |
| FT Rate | 33.5% | 32.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 54.5% | 48.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 14.5% | 23.6% |
| DRB% | 77.0% | 64.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.3% | 26.4% |
Game Analysis
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