Betting Lines
| Spread | COFC -20.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 143.5 Under |
| Money | MONM +1400 COFC -2500 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MONM win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | COFC +14 | 124 | Lost |
| Massey | COFC -20.9 (+6.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 145.6 (-21.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 1% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 0% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | COFC -18.2 (+4.2) | 143.3 (-19.3) | 11% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | COFC -15.0 (+1.0) | 144.8 (-20.8) | 12% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | COFC -15.6 (+1.6) | 144.2 (-20.2) | 13% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | COFC -17.8 (+3.8) | 143.8 (-19.8) | 11% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 21, 2026 | COFC 74 – 63 MONM |
| Mar 10, 2025 | COFC 79 – 78 MONM |
| Jan 11, 2025 | MONM 84 – 73 COFC |
| Mar 10, 2024 | COFC 83 – 59 MONM |
| Jan 13, 2024 | COFC 94 – 83 MONM |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MONM | COFC |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 7-26 | 31-4 |
| Conference | 5-13 | 16-2 |
| Home | 3-10 | 17-1 |
| Away | 3-15 | 11-2 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 3-1 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 61.7 | 79.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.7 | 67.2 |
| Massey | -17.1 (#360) | 7.6 (#76) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.47 (#349) | 3.22 (#7) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.95 (#349) | 3.37 (#15) |
| RPI | 0.428 (#304) | 0.611 (#21) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MONM | COFC |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 38.2% | 43.0% |
| 3PT% | 27.1% | 32.9% |
| REB / G | 31.2 | 39.9 |
| OREB / G | 10.6 | 13.7 |
| AST / TO | 0.68 | 1.06 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 42.1% | 50.9% |
| TOV% | 23.5% | 17.2% |
| ORB% | 29.0% | 35.0% |
| FT Rate | 19.7% | 22.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 57.1% | 49.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.0% | 19.6% |
| DRB% | 64.6% | 74.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 27.2% | 17.0% |
Game Analysis
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