Betting Lines
| Spread | COFC -8.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 147.5 Over |
| Money | COFC -400 MONM +300 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | COFC win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | COFC +1 | 157 | Won |
| Massey | COFC -6.7 (-5.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 152.0 (+5.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 83% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | COFC -6.3 (-5.3) | 145.2 (+11.8) | 73% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | COFC -5.9 (-4.9) | 146.3 (+10.7) | 72% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | COFC -6.6 (-5.6) | 144.6 (+12.4) | 75% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | COFC -6.6 (-5.6) | 144.1 (+12.9) | 72% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 21, 2026 | COFC 74 – 63 MONM |
| Jan 11, 2025 | MONM 84 – 73 COFC |
| Mar 10, 2024 | COFC 83 – 59 MONM |
| Jan 13, 2024 | COFC 94 – 83 MONM |
| Jan 20, 2023 | COFC 69 – 55 MONM |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | COFC | MONM |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 24-9 | 13-20 |
| Conference | 13-5 | 10-8 |
| Home | 13-2 | 8-2 |
| Away | 7-5 | 4-14 |
| Neutral | 4-2 | 1-4 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 76.7 | 70.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.9 | 75.4 |
| Massey | 0.8 (#151) | -5.9 (#262) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.86 (#101) | -0.72 (#238) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.79 (#113) | -1.00 (#246) |
| RPI | 0.556 (#76) | 0.478 (#230) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | COFC | MONM |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.5% | 41.1% |
| 3PT% | 35.3% | 35.2% |
| REB / G | 35.6 | 34.0 |
| OREB / G | 9.2 | 10.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.38 | 1.04 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.5% | 47.1% |
| TOV% | 16.1% | 16.4% |
| ORB% | 26.2% | 29.9% |
| FT Rate | 24.0% | 27.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.3% | 50.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.8% | 16.7% |
| DRB% | 71.8% | 65.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.0% | 25.8% |
Game Analysis
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