Betting Lines
| Spread | NE -6.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 139.5 Over |
| Money | NE -250 ELON +240 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | NE win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | ELON +1 | 147 | Lost |
| Massey | NE -6.8 (-7.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 137.5 (+9.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 92% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 91% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | NE -5.0 (-6.0) | 137.8 (+9.2) | 68% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | NE -4.5 (-5.5) | 137.8 (+9.2) | 64% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | NE -5.0 (-6.0) | 138.4 (+8.6) | 70% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | NE -4.8 (-5.8) | 138.9 (+8.1) | 67% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 16, 2026 | NE 85 – 78 ELON |
| Dec 30, 2025 | ELON 103 – 91 NE |
| Feb 2, 2025 | ELON 71 – 60 NE |
| Feb 23, 2024 | NE 61 – 58 ELON |
| Jan 21, 2024 | NE 84 – 72 ELON |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | NE | ELON |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 10-20 | 8-24 |
| Conference | 6-12 | 6-12 |
| Home | 6-6 | 5-9 |
| Away | 3-12 | 3-12 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 0-3 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L3 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 65.3 | 63.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.7 | 72.2 |
| Massey | -6.3 (#283) | -9.5 (#330) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.00 (#272) | -2.75 (#355) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.28 (#275) | -2.84 (#348) |
| RPI | 0.446 (#281) | 0.384 (#349) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | NE | ELON |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.5% | 40.9% |
| 3PT% | 34.4% | 29.4% |
| REB / G | 36.6 | 32.4 |
| OREB / G | 10.9 | 8.7 |
| AST / TO | 0.90 | 0.96 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.0% | 46.9% |
| TOV% | 21.3% | 18.6% |
| ORB% | 31.7% | 25.0% |
| FT Rate | 17.7% | 20.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.8% | 52.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 14.7% | 18.0% |
| DRB% | 73.0% | 68.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.0% | 19.8% |
Game Analysis
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