Betting Lines
| Spread | ELON -3.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 140.5 Under |
| Money | ELON -150 NE +130 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ELON win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | ELON +11 | 131 | Won |
| Massey | ELON -5.4 (+5.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 140.0 (-9.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 63% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 70% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | ELON -4.3 (+6.7) | 140.1 (-9.1) | 65% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | ELON -4.0 (+7.0) | 141.0 (-10.0) | 68% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | ELON -4.2 (+6.8) | 141.3 (-10.3) | 68% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | ELON -3.9 (+7.1) | 143.0 (-12.0) | 67% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 16, 2026 | NE 85 – 78 ELON |
| Dec 30, 2025 | ELON 103 – 91 NE |
| Feb 23, 2024 | NE 61 – 58 ELON |
| Jan 21, 2024 | NE 84 – 72 ELON |
| Feb 4, 2023 | ELON 74 – 73 NE |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | ELON | NE |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-16 | 17-15 |
| Conference | 8-10 | 9-9 |
| Home | 10-4 | 8-5 |
| Away | 6-9 | 7-8 |
| Neutral | 1-3 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L5 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.5 | 70.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.9 | 69.7 |
| Massey | 0.5 (#154) | -1.7 (#191) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.03 (#178) | 0.01 (#173) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.06 (#166) | -0.15 (#185) |
| RPI | 0.503 (#174) | 0.511 (#158) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | ELON | NE |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.7% | 45.8% |
| 3PT% | 31.5% | 34.2% |
| REB / G | 39.9 | 35.5 |
| OREB / G | 12.4 | 10.9 |
| AST / TO | 1.00 | 1.01 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.3% | 51.5% |
| TOV% | 17.8% | 19.6% |
| ORB% | 36.8% | 32.7% |
| FT Rate | 30.4% | 18.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.5% | 50.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 12.9% | 17.7% |
| DRB% | 69.1% | 70.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 16.7% | 20.5% |
Game Analysis
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