Betting Lines
| Spread | MSST -2.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 133.5 Under |
| Money | MSST -154 PITT +120 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MSST win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | PITT +1 | 119 | Lost |
| Massey | MSST -2.0 (-3.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 128.6 (-9.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 53% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 55% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MSST -1.7 (-2.7) | 133.7 (-14.7) | 57% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MSST -1.7 (-2.7) | 130.5 (-11.5) | 59% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MSST -1.3 (-2.3) | 132.8 (-13.8) | 56% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | MSST -1.6 (-2.6) | 134.1 (-15.1) | 59% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 5, 2024 | MSST 90 – 57 PITT |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MSST | PITT |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 21-13 | 24-12 |
| Conference | 8-10 | 14-6 |
| Home | 12-4 | 14-3 |
| Away | 4-6 | 7-5 |
| Neutral | 5-3 | 3-4 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 65.7 | 75.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 61.0 | 69.7 |
| Massey | 9.7 (#53) | 7.7 (#78) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.82 (#45) | 1.68 (#55) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.19 (#49) | 2.01 (#56) |
| RPI | 0.554 (#71) | 0.565 (#56) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MSST | PITT |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.3% | 45.3% |
| 3PT% | 26.6% | 36.0% |
| REB / G | 37.5 | 36.2 |
| OREB / G | 12.8 | 10.3 |
| AST / TO | 1.11 | 1.30 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.9% | 53.2% |
| TOV% | 19.3% | 16.5% |
| ORB% | 35.2% | 30.4% |
| FT Rate | 22.4% | 24.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.2% | 49.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 22.0% | 16.6% |
| DRB% | 71.0% | 71.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.8% | 21.7% |
Game Analysis
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