Betting Lines
| Spread | WAKE -18.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 145.5 Over |
| Money | WAKE -1300 WCU +800 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WAKE win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WAKE +12 | 162 | Won |
| Massey | WAKE -17.1 (-5.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 142.6 (+19.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 94% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 97% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | WAKE -11.1 (+0.9) | 145.2 (+16.8) | 81% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | WAKE -13.5 (-1.5) | 143.5 (+18.5) | 83% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 20, 2024 | WAKE 82 – 69 WCU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | WAKE | WCU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 25-10 | 11-21 |
| Conference | 13-7 | 5-13 |
| Home | 18-2 | 8-5 |
| Away | 5-6 | 2-14 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 1-0 | 1-0 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 78.5 | 69.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.1 | 78.2 |
| Massey | 1.4 (#111) | -1.9 (#196) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.34 (#116) | 0.34 (#118) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.49 (#76) | 0.43 (#109) |
| RPI | — | — |
| Shooting & Four Factors | WAKE | WCU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 51.7% | 37.1% |
| 3PT% | 30.4% | 35.3% |
| REB / G | 37.0 | 53.0 |
| OREB / G | 11.0 | 18.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.76 | 1.06 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 57.5% | 45.7% |
| TOV% | 23.4% | 21.7% |
| ORB% | 31.4% | 34.6% |
| FT Rate | 13.3% | 21.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 43.9% | 37.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 28.9% | 18.5% |
| DRB% | 68.4% | 71.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 15.8% | 21.6% |
Game Analysis
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