Betting Lines
| Spread | WAKE -22.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 145.5 Over |
| Money | WAKE -10000 WCU +2500 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WAKE win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WAKE +13 | 151 | Won |
| Massey | WAKE -16.7 (-3.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 127.4 (+23.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | WAKE -11.2 (+1.8) | 133.5 (+17.5) | 84% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | WAKE -14.0 (-1.0) | 130.8 (+20.2) | 83% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WAKE -17.0 (-4.0) | 137.4 (+13.6) | 86% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 13, 2021 | WAKE 87 – 75 WCU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | WAKE | WCU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 21-11 | 8-22 |
| Conference | 13-7 | 4-14 |
| Home | 13-3 | 7-7 |
| Away | 6-6 | 1-14 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 0-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L5 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.2 | 67.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.0 | 80.6 |
| Massey | 1.0 (#151) | -8.8 (#320) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.75 (#61) | -1.62 (#300) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.40 (#65) | -3.29 (#329) |
| RPI | 0.624 (#57) | 0.139 (#362) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | WAKE | WCU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.3% | 31.3% |
| 3PT% | 26.8% | 14.3% |
| REB / G | 36.4 | 47.0 |
| OREB / G | 9.6 | 12.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.89 | 0.44 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.3% | 33.6% |
| TOV% | 20.6% | 20.4% |
| ORB% | 28.9% | 26.1% |
| FT Rate | 28.3% | 13.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 45.7% | 37.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 21.4% | 18.0% |
| DRB% | 71.7% | 67.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.7% | 21.4% |
Game Analysis
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