Betting Lines
| Spread | RGV -7.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 157.5 Under |
| Money | NOLA +290 RGV -380 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | NOLA win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | RGV +12 | 140 | Lost |
| Massey | RGV -7.4 (-4.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 161.8 (-21.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 41% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 47% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | RGV -6.8 (-5.2) | 155.4 (-15.4) | 25% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | RGV -6.4 (-5.6) | 157.1 (-17.1) | 29% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | RGV -6.7 (-5.3) | 156.1 (-16.1) | 29% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | RGV -6.9 (-5.1) | 156.3 (-16.3) | 24% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 7, 2026 | RGV 95 – 76 NOLA |
| Dec 30, 2025 | NOLA 85 – 69 RGV |
| Mar 1, 2025 | RGV 88 – 78 NOLA |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | NOLA | RGV |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 4-27 | 16-15 |
| Conference | 2-18 | 8-12 |
| Home | 0-11 | 12-4 |
| Away | 3-15 | 2-11 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 2-0 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L13 | W2 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.9 | 74.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 82.5 | 76.8 |
| Massey | -12.0 (#345) | -0.5 (#166) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.08 (#268) | 0.07 (#162) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.46 (#273) | -0.47 (#203) |
| RPI | 0.479 (#204) | 0.511 (#145) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | NOLA | RGV |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 38.5% | 44.7% |
| 3PT% | 29.3% | 30.4% |
| REB / G | 36.1 | 34.1 |
| OREB / G | 12.7 | 10.9 |
| AST / TO | 0.85 | 1.10 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 43.6% | 52.2% |
| TOV% | 19.4% | 18.1% |
| ORB% | 31.1% | 29.9% |
| FT Rate | 20.4% | 17.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 55.2% | 53.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.7% | 19.5% |
| DRB% | 62.8% | 69.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.2% | 26.0% |
Game Analysis
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