Betting Lines
| Spread | SUU -16.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 152.5 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | IDHO win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SUU +6 | 156 | Lost |
| Massey | SUU -15.2 (+9.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 160.5 (-4.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 2% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 0% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SUU -10.2 (+4.2) | 154.9 (+1.1) | 16% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SUU -13.4 (+7.4) | 157.2 (-1.2) | 13% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SUU -11.7 (+5.7) | 156.6 (-0.6) | 17% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SUU -11.2 (+5.2) | 155.9 (+0.1) | 16% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 23, 2024 | SUU 82 – 67 IDHO |
| Feb 4, 2022 | SUU 75 – 59 IDHO |
| Jan 9, 2021 | SUU 83 – 67 IDHO |
| Jan 8, 2021 | SUU 85 – 80 IDHO |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | IDHO | SUU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 9-22 | 23-12 |
| Conference | 6-14 | 14-6 |
| Home | 8-7 | 13-3 |
| Away | 1-12 | 8-8 |
| Neutral | 0-3 | 2-1 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.9 | 75.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 80.3 | 72.8 |
| Massey | -18.3 (#357) | 2.7 (#125) |
| Bradley-Terry | -4.09 (#357) | 1.03 (#96) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -5.38 (#353) | 1.58 (#94) |
| RPI | 0.357 (#336) | 0.529 (#130) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | IDHO | SUU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 35.8% | 42.5% |
| 3PT% | 33.6% | 27.8% |
| REB / G | 31.5 | 40.5 |
| OREB / G | 9.3 | 11.8 |
| AST / TO | 0.80 | 0.73 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 42.4% | 48.7% |
| TOV% | 19.4% | 19.5% |
| ORB% | 22.6% | 29.8% |
| FT Rate | 27.8% | 23.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 55.0% | 50.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.1% | 17.1% |
| DRB% | 63.6% | 77.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 28.3% | 22.7% |
Game Analysis
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