Betting Lines
| Spread | SUU -2.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 145.5 Over |
| Money | SUU -155 IDHO +130 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SUU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SUU +15 | 149 | Won |
| Massey | SUU -5.0 (+10.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 154.7 (-5.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 91% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 95% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SUU -5.8 (+9.2) | 147.2 (+1.8) | 75% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SUU -4.2 (+10.8) | 147.5 (+1.5) | 72% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SUU -5.0 (+10.0) | 146.0 (+3.0) | 72% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SUU -4.5 (+10.5) | 147.5 (+1.5) | 74% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 4, 2022 | SUU 75 – 59 IDHO |
| Dec 4, 2021 | SUU 81 – 75 IDHO |
| Jan 9, 2021 | SUU 83 – 67 IDHO |
| Jan 8, 2021 | SUU 85 – 80 IDHO |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SUU | IDHO |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 12-19 | 14-19 |
| Conference | 4-12 | 8-10 |
| Home | 8-7 | 8-6 |
| Away | 3-11 | 5-11 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-1 | 0-3 |
| Streak | L3 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 66.8 | 72.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.3 | 76.6 |
| Massey | -0.3 (#176) | -5.3 (#267) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.68 (#135) | -1.64 (#299) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.87 (#141) | -2.07 (#279) |
| RPI | 0.529 (#134) | 0.469 (#223) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SUU | IDHO |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.3% | 43.5% |
| 3PT% | 30.4% | 39.7% |
| REB / G | 37.7 | 31.3 |
| OREB / G | 10.0 | 8.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.74 | 0.79 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.5% | 52.1% |
| TOV% | 19.6% | 21.8% |
| ORB% | 30.9% | 23.1% |
| FT Rate | 39.5% | 22.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.2% | 56.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 14.1% | 13.9% |
| DRB% | 70.3% | 66.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.6% | 28.5% |
Game Analysis
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