Betting Lines
| Spread | LIU -7.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 138.5 Under |
| Money | LIU -360 CHST +280 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | LIU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | LIU +14 | 92 | Won |
| Massey | LIU -11.4 (+2.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 136.9 (-44.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 80% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 84% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | LIU -8.5 (+5.5) | 135.6 (-43.6) | 85% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | LIU -7.6 (+6.4) | 133.4 (-41.4) | 83% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | LIU -8.6 (+5.4) | 136.3 (-44.3) | 81% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | LIU -9.1 (+4.9) | 134.5 (-42.5) | 84% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 5, 2026 | LIU 79 – 75 CHST |
| Feb 27, 2026 | LIU 73 – 56 CHST |
| Jan 4, 2026 | LIU 74 – 55 CHST |
| Mar 6, 2025 | LIU 68 – 57 CHST |
| Feb 1, 2025 | CHST 73 – 67 LIU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | LIU | CHST |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-16 | 4-28 |
| Conference | 12-4 | 4-12 |
| Home | 10-5 | 3-7 |
| Away | 7-9 | 1-19 |
| Neutral | 0-2 | 0-2 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L8 |
| Avg Pts For | 65.5 | 62.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 66.5 | 78.7 |
| Massey | -8.9 (#309) | -16.0 (#358) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.50 (#300) | -2.13 (#330) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.91 (#294) | -2.70 (#328) |
| RPI | 0.431 (#297) | 0.444 (#274) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | LIU | CHST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.8% | 35.9% |
| 3PT% | 31.0% | 29.6% |
| REB / G | 33.7 | 32.2 |
| OREB / G | 11.1 | 9.5 |
| AST / TO | 0.85 | 0.70 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.0% | 42.0% |
| TOV% | 19.7% | 20.4% |
| ORB% | 30.8% | 23.5% |
| FT Rate | 20.7% | 17.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.1% | 54.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.2% | 17.6% |
| DRB% | 70.3% | 64.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 39.2% | 28.7% |
Game Analysis
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