Betting Lines
| Spread | LIU -3.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 128.5 Over |
| Money | CHST +155 LIU -185 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CHST win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CHST +6 | 140 | Won |
| Massey | LIU -4.4 (+10.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 130.6 (+9.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 37% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 39% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | LIU -3.2 (+9.2) | 133.9 (+6.1) | 36% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | LIU -3.4 (+9.4) | 133.6 (+6.4) | 42% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | LIU -3.5 (+9.5) | 132.4 (+7.6) | 34% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | LIU -3.5 (+9.5) | 131.7 (+8.3) | 41% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 5, 2026 | LIU 79 – 75 CHST |
| Feb 27, 2026 | LIU 73 – 56 CHST |
| Jan 4, 2026 | LIU 74 – 55 CHST |
| Mar 6, 2025 | LIU 68 – 57 CHST |
| Jan 5, 2025 | LIU 53 – 39 CHST |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CHST | LIU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 4-28 | 17-16 |
| Conference | 4-12 | 12-4 |
| Home | 3-7 | 10-5 |
| Away | 1-19 | 7-9 |
| Neutral | 0-2 | 0-2 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L8 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 62.5 | 65.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 78.7 | 66.5 |
| Massey | -16.7 (#358) | -9.1 (#310) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.66 (#350) | -1.57 (#308) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -3.18 (#346) | -2.05 (#309) |
| RPI | 0.409 (#325) | 0.427 (#304) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CHST | LIU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 37.0% | 42.2% |
| 3PT% | 29.5% | 30.2% |
| REB / G | 31.8 | 34.5 |
| OREB / G | 8.8 | 10.7 |
| AST / TO | 0.74 | 0.80 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 42.9% | 47.2% |
| TOV% | 19.9% | 20.3% |
| ORB% | 22.9% | 30.8% |
| FT Rate | 18.6% | 19.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.6% | 49.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.0% | 18.5% |
| DRB% | 66.0% | 72.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 28.7% | 33.8% |
Game Analysis
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