Betting Lines
| Spread | TENN -6.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 132.0 Under |
| Money | TENN -220 LSU +190 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | TENN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | TENN +14 | 114 | Won |
| Massey | TENN -0.1 (+13.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 130.1 (-16.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 51% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 50% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | TENN -2.0 (+12.0) | 138.1 (-24.1) | 68% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | TENN -3.3 (+10.7) | 132.8 (-18.8) | 77% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | TENN -1.0 (+13.0) | 133.7 (-19.7) | 53% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | TENN -1.0 (+13.0) | 133.4 (-19.4) | 61% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 14, 2026 | TENN 73 – 63 LSU |
| Feb 26, 2025 | TENN 65 – 59 LSU |
| Feb 8, 2024 | TENN 88 – 68 LSU |
| Jan 21, 2023 | TENN 77 – 56 LSU |
| Jan 8, 2022 | LSU 79 – 67 TENN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | TENN | LSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 27-8 | 22-12 |
| Conference | 14-4 | 9-9 |
| Home | 16-0 | 15-2 |
| Away | 6-5 | 3-8 |
| Neutral | 5-3 | 4-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.5 | 72.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 62.9 | 63.4 |
| Massey | 16.6 (#13) | 20.1 (#3) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.59 (#27) | 3.15 (#11) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.26 (#27) | 3.93 (#14) |
| RPI | 0.620 (#22) | 0.659 (#5) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | TENN | LSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.7% | 44.6% |
| 3PT% | 32.5% | 32.8% |
| REB / G | 37.3 | 40.2 |
| OREB / G | 12.3 | 12.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.34 | 0.84 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.7% | 50.2% |
| TOV% | 17.7% | 20.4% |
| ORB% | 32.5% | 33.3% |
| FT Rate | 17.3% | 21.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.0% | 41.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 25.5% | 25.9% |
| DRB% | 73.1% | 72.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.3% | 21.2% |
Game Analysis
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