Betting Lines
| Spread | TENN -10.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 140.5 Under |
| Money | LSU +450 TENN -700 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | LSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | TENN +6 | 124 | Lost |
| Massey | TENN -9.9 (+3.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 134.1 (-10.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 13% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 6% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | TENN -6.3 (+0.3) | 137.3 (-13.3) | 21% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | TENN -8.0 (+2.0) | 137.0 (-13.0) | 18% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | TENN -7.4 (+1.4) | 135.9 (-11.9) | 21% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | TENN -6.8 (+0.8) | 136.2 (-12.2) | 21% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 14, 2026 | TENN 73 – 63 LSU |
| Feb 8, 2024 | TENN 88 – 68 LSU |
| Jan 21, 2023 | TENN 77 – 56 LSU |
| Jan 22, 2022 | TENN 64 – 50 LSU |
| Jan 8, 2022 | LSU 79 – 67 TENN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | LSU | TENN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-18 | 30-8 |
| Conference | 3-15 | 12-6 |
| Home | 11-7 | 16-1 |
| Away | 2-8 | 6-5 |
| Neutral | 1-3 | 8-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L6 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.8 | 74.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.6 | 63.1 |
| Massey | 9.1 (#63) | 22.1 (#5) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.58 (#62) | 4.05 (#3) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.89 (#69) | 5.21 (#3) |
| RPI | 0.521 (#141) | 0.652 (#4) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | LSU | TENN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.4% | 45.4% |
| 3PT% | 31.6% | 34.7% |
| REB / G | 36.7 | 37.6 |
| OREB / G | 10.7 | 11.9 |
| AST / TO | 1.02 | 1.47 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.1% | 52.8% |
| TOV% | 18.6% | 16.4% |
| ORB% | 30.9% | 36.3% |
| FT Rate | 23.8% | 24.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.9% | 43.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.7% | 18.9% |
| DRB% | 65.7% | 70.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.7% | 20.3% |
Game Analysis
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