Betting Lines
| Spread | TENN -7.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 136.5 Over |
| Money | TENN -320 MICH +250 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | TENN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MICH +8 | 144 | Lost |
| Massey | TENN -6.8 (-14.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 135.0 (+9.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 78% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 80% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | TENN -4.9 (-12.9) | 137.6 (+6.4) | 69% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | TENN -5.2 (-13.2) | 134.7 (+9.3) | 66% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | TENN -6.2 (-14.2) | 137.5 (+6.5) | 73% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | TENN -6.3 (-14.3) | 137.6 (+6.4) | 72% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 29, 2026 | MICH 95 – 62 TENN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | TENN | MICH |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 27-8 | 19-15 |
| Conference | 14-4 | 11-9 |
| Home | 16-0 | 10-5 |
| Away | 6-5 | 5-7 |
| Neutral | 5-3 | 4-3 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.5 | 72.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 62.9 | 69.4 |
| Massey | 18.7 (#7) | 11.9 (#29) |
| Bradley-Terry | 3.31 (#7) | 2.04 (#42) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.93 (#8) | 2.55 (#38) |
| RPI | 0.636 (#5) | 0.579 (#43) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | TENN | MICH |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.5% | 47.0% |
| 3PT% | 36.5% | 33.8% |
| REB / G | 37.0 | 35.6 |
| OREB / G | 11.7 | 9.9 |
| AST / TO | 1.33 | 1.22 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.9% | 52.5% |
| TOV% | 18.0% | 17.3% |
| ORB% | 32.6% | 31.1% |
| FT Rate | 20.9% | 22.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.2% | 50.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 23.0% | 14.9% |
| DRB% | 72.8% | 76.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.2% | 19.0% |
Game Analysis
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