Betting Lines
| Spread | MICH -8.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 146.5 Over |
| Money | MICH -425 TENN +330 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MICH win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MICH +33 | 157 | Won |
| Massey | MICH -8.9 (+24.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 148.0 (+9.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 87% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MICH -7.5 (+25.5) | 145.1 (+11.9) | 71% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MICH -6.0 (+27.0) | 145.7 (+11.3) | 67% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MICH -7.5 (+25.5) | 143.8 (+13.2) | 78% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MICH -7.0 (+26.0) | 145.5 (+11.5) | 75% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 19, 2022 | MICH 76 – 68 TENN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MICH | TENN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 37-3 | 25-12 |
| Conference | 19-1 | 11-7 |
| Home | 14-1 | 14-3 |
| Away | 11-0 | 5-5 |
| Neutral | 12-2 | 6-4 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 4-1 |
| Streak | W6 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 87.3 | 78.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.5 | 69.6 |
| Massey | 29.0 (#1) | 20.1 (#13) |
| Bradley-Terry | 5.00 (#3) | 3.10 (#20) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 6.31 (#3) | 4.16 (#18) |
| RPI | 0.683 (#1) | 0.601 (#24) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MICH | TENN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 51.1% | 46.6% |
| 3PT% | 36.9% | 34.0% |
| REB / G | 40.1 | 42.5 |
| OREB / G | 10.9 | 15.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.61 | 1.45 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 58.8% | 52.0% |
| TOV% | 16.3% | 17.5% |
| ORB% | 35.1% | 45.1% |
| FT Rate | 27.8% | 26.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 45.2% | 47.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.2% | 16.2% |
| DRB% | 73.0% | 72.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.5% | 24.8% |
Game Analysis
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