Betting Lines
| Spread | NCAT -9.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 147.0 Over |
| Money | SCST +360 NCAT -475 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SCST win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | NCAT +11 | 183 | Lost |
| Massey | NCAT -6.3 (-4.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 147.1 (+35.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 37% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 29% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | NCAT -6.0 (-5.0) | 149.9 (+33.1) | 18% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | NCAT -6.0 (-5.0) | 146.4 (+36.6) | 16% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | NCAT -4.8 (-6.2) | 144.8 (+38.2) | 34% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | NCAT -4.3 (-6.7) | 146.8 (+36.2) | 18% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 11, 2025 | NCAT 85 – 62 SCST |
| Jan 3, 2021 | NCAT 73 – 66 SCST |
Game Analysis
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