Betting Lines
| Spread | NCAT -11.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 151.0 Under |
| Money | SCST +500 NCAT -700 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SCST win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | NCAT +7 | 139 | Lost |
| Massey | NCAT -6.8 (-0.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 152.7 (-13.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 19% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 10% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | NCAT -5.1 (-1.9) | 149.0 (-10.0) | 19% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | NCAT -5.8 (-1.2) | 147.2 (-8.2) | 21% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | NCAT -5.2 (-1.8) | 147.8 (-8.8) | 27% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | NCAT -5.3 (-1.7) | 146.6 (-7.6) | 18% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 11, 2025 | NCAT 85 – 62 SCST |
| Jan 2, 2021 | NCAT 97 – 86 SCST |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.