Betting Lines
| Spread | LUC -7.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 132.0 Under |
| Money | LUC -340 UNT +280 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | LUC win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | LUC +8 | 106 | Won |
| Massey | LUC -6.9 (+1.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 133.3 (-27.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 86% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 95% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | LUC -8.4 (-0.4) | 137.2 (-31.2) | 78% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | LUC -7.8 (+0.2) | 131.4 (-25.4) | 78% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | LUC -8.7 (-0.7) | 135.4 (-29.4) | 80% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | LUC -8.0 (+0.0) | 136.1 (-30.1) | 77% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 9, 2025 | UNT 64 – 62 LUC |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | LUC | UNT |
|---|---|---|
| Neutral | 5-2 | 5-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Massey | 9.7 (#57) | 6.2 (#85) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.81 (#114) | -0.42 (#201) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.72 (#82) | -0.68 (#205) |
| RPI | 0.551 (#94) | 0.458 (#220) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | LUC | UNT |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 52.5% | 48.7% |
| 3PT% | 40.0% | 41.0% |
| REB / G | 33.5 | 35.7 |
| OREB / G | 7.3 | 9.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.55 | 1.10 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 60.6% | 55.9% |
| TOV% | 18.2% | 19.5% |
| ORB% | 25.6% | 27.6% |
| FT Rate | 21.2% | 17.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.0% | 44.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.3% | 23.5% |
| DRB% | 82.6% | 71.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.5% | 19.4% |
Game Analysis
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