Betting Lines
| Spread | TEM -2.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 156.5 Over |
| Money | UTSA +120 TEM -140 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UTSA win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UTSA +9 | 167 | Won |
| Massey | TEM -3.1 (+12.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 162.1 (+4.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 34% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 28% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | TEM -2.3 (+11.3) | 156.1 (+10.9) | 41% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | TEM -2.1 (+11.1) | 155.4 (+11.6) | 46% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | TEM -1.6 (+10.6) | 155.2 (+11.8) | 42% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | TEM -2.3 (+11.3) | 156.5 (+10.5) | 37% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 24, 2026 | TEM 70 – 64 UTSA |
| Jan 3, 2026 | TEM 76 – 57 UTSA |
| Mar 13, 2024 | TEM 64 – 61 UTSA |
| Mar 10, 2024 | TEM 84 – 82 UTSA |
| Feb 18, 2024 | TEM 83 – 77 UTSA |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UTSA | TEM |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 12-19 | 17-15 |
| Conference | 6-12 | 9-9 |
| Home | 7-7 | 12-2 |
| Away | 4-11 | 3-9 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 2-4 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.4 | 77.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 77.5 | 77.6 |
| Massey | -3.6 (#222) | 2.9 (#116) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.54 (#226) | 0.72 (#109) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.79 (#230) | 0.85 (#107) |
| RPI | 0.501 (#180) | 0.554 (#80) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UTSA | TEM |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.5% | 44.1% |
| 3PT% | 34.8% | 35.7% |
| REB / G | 31.6 | 38.4 |
| OREB / G | 10.1 | 12.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.09 | 0.92 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.1% | 49.9% |
| TOV% | 16.0% | 16.4% |
| ORB% | 27.4% | 33.4% |
| FT Rate | 23.7% | 31.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 54.7% | 48.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.3% | 15.7% |
| DRB% | 64.1% | 68.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 30.2% | 23.2% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.