Betting Lines
| Spread | M-OH -6.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 161.5 Over |
| Money | M-OH -325 MASS +260 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | M-OH win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MASS +4 | 170 | Lost |
| Massey | M-OH -8.5 (-12.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 168.9 (+1.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 99% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | M-OH -10.2 (-14.2) | 159.5 (+10.5) | 82% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | M-OH -7.1 (-11.1) | 158.8 (+11.2) | 78% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | M-OH -9.9 (-13.9) | 159.5 (+10.5) | 82% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | M-OH -8.6 (-12.6) | 159.2 (+10.8) | 82% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 18, 2026 | M-OH 86 – 77 MASS |
| Jan 28, 2026 | M-OH 86 – 84 MASS |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | M-OH | MASS |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 32-2 | 17-16 |
| Conference | 18-0 | 7-11 |
| Home | 16-0 | 11-5 |
| Away | 14-0 | 2-8 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 4-3 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 86.3 | 79.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 76.5 | 78.8 |
| Massey | 7.1 (#86) | -1.4 (#186) |
| Bradley-Terry | 4.13 (#4) | -0.34 (#208) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 5.00 (#5) | -0.38 (#198) |
| RPI | 0.600 (#29) | 0.491 (#206) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | M-OH | MASS |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 50.9% | 46.8% |
| 3PT% | 37.6% | 36.1% |
| REB / G | 34.7 | 36.4 |
| OREB / G | 8.0 | 11.5 |
| AST / TO | 1.43 | 1.30 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 59.2% | 53.3% |
| TOV% | 14.5% | 17.9% |
| ORB% | 25.2% | 32.7% |
| FT Rate | 30.5% | 25.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.7% | 52.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.5% | 17.0% |
| DRB% | 72.6% | 73.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.9% | 33.5% |
Game Analysis
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