Cause now I wanna be your dog. "I Wanna Be Your Dog" - Iggy and the Stooges
Mid-American Conference · Mullins Center · February 18, 2026
Betting Lines
Spread M-OH -3.5 Away covered
O/U 163.5 Under
Money MASS +145 / M-OH -175
Model Predictions
Spread Total MASS win
Actual M-OH +9 163 Lost
Massey M-OH -5.3 (-3.7) — —
Massey Totals — 171.8 (-8.8) —
Bradley-Terry — — 3% ✓
Weighted B-T — — 1% ✓
Baseline Plus ML M-OH -7.2 (-1.8) 160.6 (+2.4) 24% ✓
Efficiency Plus ML ★ M-OH -3.1 (-5.9) 160.4 (+2.6) 35% ✓
Baseline Tuned ML M-OH -5.7 (-3.3) 160.8 (+2.2) 25% ✓
Baseline ML M-OH -4.7 (-4.3) 160.2 (+2.8) 27% ✓

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Mar 12, 2026 MASS 87 – 83 M-OH
Jan 28, 2026 M-OH 86 – 84 MASS

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings MASS M-OH
Overall 17-16 32-2
Conference 7-11 18-0
Home 11-5 16-0
Away 2-8 14-0
Neutral 4-3 2-2
Last 5 2-3 5-0
Streak L1 L1
Avg Pts For 79.9 86.3
Avg Pts Against 78.8 76.5
Massey -0.6 (#174) 7.7 (#80)
Bradley-Terry -0.08 (#172) 3.94 (#9)
W. Bradley-Terry -0.16 (#178) 4.87 (#11)
RPI 0.507 (#164) 0.600 (#36)
Shooting & Four Factors MASS M-OH
FG% 46.9% 51.6%
3PT% 36.3% 38.0%
REB / G 36.4 34.5
OREB / G 11.7 8.1
AST / TO 1.30 1.46
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 53.3% 60.0%
TOV% 17.9% 15.1%
ORB% 32.8% 26.2%
FT Rate 25.7% 30.4%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 52.7% 50.5%
Opp TOV% 17.9% 18.2%
DRB% 73.4% 72.1%
Opp FT Rate 33.1% 24.1%

Game Analysis

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