Betting Lines
| Spread | ARIZ -3.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 144.5 Over |
| Money | ARIZ -170 ISU +142 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ARIZ win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | ARIZ +2 | 162 | Won |
| Massey | ARIZ -2.6 (-0.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 147.5 (+14.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 81% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | ARIZ -2.1 (-0.1) | 143.1 (+18.9) | 61% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | ARIZ -1.9 (+0.1) | 141.8 (+20.2) | 57% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | ARIZ -3.4 (-1.4) | 141.3 (+20.7) | 64% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | ARIZ -2.6 (-0.6) | 141.9 (+20.1) | 60% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 3, 2026 | ARIZ 73 – 57 ISU |
| Mar 2, 2025 | ISU 84 – 67 ARIZ |
| Jan 28, 2025 | ARIZ 86 – 75 ISU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | ARIZ | ISU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 36-3 | 29-8 |
| Conference | 16-2 | 12-6 |
| Home | 16-1 | 16-1 |
| Away | 9-1 | 5-5 |
| Neutral | 11-1 | 8-2 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 86.2 | 82.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.4 | 65.6 |
| Massey | 26.5 (#3) | 23.9 (#5) |
| Bradley-Terry | 5.11 (#2) | 3.68 (#9) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 6.38 (#3) | 4.45 (#10) |
| RPI | 0.669 (#3) | 0.617 (#19) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | ARIZ | ISU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 50.2% | 49.0% |
| 3PT% | 35.4% | 38.4% |
| REB / G | 43.1 | 35.7 |
| OREB / G | 12.9 | 11.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.57 | 1.69 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 54.9% | 56.4% |
| TOV% | 15.2% | 15.0% |
| ORB% | 38.3% | 35.1% |
| FT Rate | 31.6% | 23.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 44.4% | 49.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.8% | 22.6% |
| DRB% | 73.7% | 72.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.4% | 20.0% |
Game Analysis
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