Betting Lines
| Spread | CLT -1.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 144.5 Under |
| Money | CLT -112 TULN -108 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CLT win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CLT +14 | 134 | Won |
| Massey | CLT -1.7 (+12.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 145.4 (-11.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 38% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 40% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | CLT -1.6 (+12.4) | 144.1 (-10.1) | 57% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | CLT -1.0 (+13.0) | 142.6 (-8.6) | 50% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | CLT -1.9 (+12.1) | 141.7 (-7.7) | 57% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | CLT -2.2 (+11.8) | 143.4 (-9.4) | 60% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 24, 2026 | CLT 73 – 70 TULN |
| Feb 27, 2025 | TULN 78 – 64 CLT |
| Dec 31, 2024 | TULN 83 – 68 CLT |
| Jan 27, 2024 | CLT 75 – 71 TULN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CLT | TULN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-17 | 18-15 |
| Conference | 9-9 | 8-10 |
| Home | 11-6 | 10-8 |
| Away | 4-8 | 6-4 |
| Neutral | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.0 | 72.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.3 | 75.7 |
| Massey | -1.1 (#182) | -2.8 (#211) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.25 (#196) | 0.22 (#140) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.45 (#204) | -0.04 (#165) |
| RPI | 0.490 (#208) | 0.514 (#140) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CLT | TULN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.7% | 42.6% |
| 3PT% | 35.0% | 32.5% |
| REB / G | 34.1 | 31.0 |
| OREB / G | 10.8 | 7.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.07 | 1.19 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.6% | 49.8% |
| TOV% | 18.2% | 15.6% |
| ORB% | 33.5% | 22.8% |
| FT Rate | 26.0% | 33.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.1% | 50.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 13.8% | 17.1% |
| DRB% | 67.3% | 64.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.5% | 26.9% |
Game Analysis
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