Betting Lines
| Spread | CLT -2.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 143.5 Under |
| Money | CLT -148 TULN +124 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CLT win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CLT +3 | 143 | Won |
| Massey | CLT -5.7 (-2.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 146.1 (-3.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 51% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 61% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | CLT -4.4 (-1.4) | 142.3 (+0.7) | 66% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | CLT -3.5 (-0.5) | 141.7 (+1.3) | 68% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | CLT -4.0 (-1.0) | 140.9 (+2.1) | 67% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | CLT -3.7 (-0.7) | 142.3 (+0.7) | 63% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 12, 2026 | CLT 74 – 60 TULN |
| Feb 27, 2025 | TULN 78 – 64 CLT |
| Dec 31, 2024 | TULN 83 – 68 CLT |
| Jan 27, 2024 | CLT 75 – 71 TULN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CLT | TULN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-17 | 18-15 |
| Conference | 9-9 | 8-10 |
| Home | 11-6 | 10-8 |
| Away | 4-8 | 6-4 |
| Neutral | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.0 | 72.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.3 | 75.7 |
| Massey | -0.6 (#175) | -3.1 (#213) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.31 (#204) | 0.21 (#147) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.41 (#202) | -0.23 (#186) |
| RPI | 0.488 (#201) | 0.506 (#157) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CLT | TULN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.3% | 42.7% |
| 3PT% | 36.2% | 32.2% |
| REB / G | 34.8 | 31.0 |
| OREB / G | 11.4 | 8.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.09 | 1.20 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.2% | 49.7% |
| TOV% | 18.0% | 15.2% |
| ORB% | 35.2% | 23.5% |
| FT Rate | 28.0% | 34.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.6% | 51.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.1% | 18.0% |
| DRB% | 68.5% | 65.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 27.3% | 24.1% |
Game Analysis
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