Betting Lines
| Spread | TENN -10.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 146.5 Over |
| Money | TENN -700 UK +450 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | TENN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UK +5 | 151 | Lost |
| Massey | TENN -6.6 (-11.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 148.3 (+2.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 80% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 89% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | TENN -6.6 (-11.6) | 144.6 (+6.4) | 67% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | TENN -9.0 (-14.0) | 142.6 (+8.4) | 70% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | TENN -7.1 (-12.1) | 142.4 (+8.6) | 76% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | TENN -6.7 (-11.7) | 141.6 (+9.4) | 70% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 8, 2026 | UK 74 – 71 TENN |
| Jan 17, 2026 | UK 80 – 78 TENN |
| Mar 28, 2025 | TENN 78 – 65 UK |
| Feb 12, 2025 | UK 75 – 64 TENN |
| Mar 9, 2024 | UK 85 – 81 TENN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | TENN | UK |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 30-8 | 24-12 |
| Conference | 12-6 | 10-8 |
| Home | 16-1 | 15-3 |
| Away | 6-5 | 4-6 |
| Neutral | 8-2 | 5-3 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.0 | 84.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 63.1 | 77.2 |
| Massey | 22.0 (#5) | 18.7 (#14) |
| Bradley-Terry | 4.11 (#3) | 3.28 (#15) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 5.48 (#3) | 4.11 (#15) |
| RPI | 0.665 (#5) | 0.643 (#14) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | TENN | UK |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.2% | 48.4% |
| 3PT% | 34.2% | 36.9% |
| REB / G | 38.4 | 40.8 |
| OREB / G | 12.7 | 11.4 |
| AST / TO | 1.41 | 1.76 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.6% | 56.3% |
| TOV% | 17.1% | 14.1% |
| ORB% | 38.9% | 31.3% |
| FT Rate | 24.7% | 25.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 41.8% | 48.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.3% | 14.4% |
| DRB% | 69.5% | 72.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.4% | 21.6% |
Game Analysis
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