Betting Lines
| Spread | UMES -3.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 141.5 Under |
| Money | UMES -170 COPP +145 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UMES win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | COPP +5 | 119 | Lost |
| Massey | UMES -5.0 (-10.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 138.2 (-19.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 35% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 28% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UMES -2.1 (-7.1) | 135.5 (-16.5) | 55% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UMES -2.4 (-7.4) | 134.7 (-15.7) | 64% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UMES -2.4 (-7.4) | 135.0 (-16.0) | 60% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | UMES -3.0 (-8.0) | 135.7 (-16.7) | 57% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 21, 2026 | COPP 71 – 65 UMES |
| Jan 17, 2026 | UMES 70 – 67 COPP |
| Mar 4, 2025 | UMES 72 – 59 COPP |
| Feb 20, 2024 | UMES 75 – 67 COPP |
| Jan 9, 2024 | COPP 58 – 55 UMES |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UMES | COPP |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 6-25 | 6-24 |
| Conference | 2-12 | 4-10 |
| Home | 5-7 | 5-6 |
| Away | 1-17 | 1-17 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 63.3 | 61.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 79.5 | 76.9 |
| Massey | -17.4 (#360) | -19.1 (#362) |
| Bradley-Terry | -4.21 (#362) | -3.04 (#357) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -5.53 (#362) | -3.95 (#359) |
| RPI | 0.372 (#353) | 0.363 (#360) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UMES | COPP |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 38.8% | 37.6% |
| 3PT% | 28.7% | 26.0% |
| REB / G | 30.9 | 30.2 |
| OREB / G | 9.5 | 10.1 |
| AST / TO | 0.65 | 0.67 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 44.0% | 41.7% |
| TOV% | 19.6% | 21.5% |
| ORB% | 25.4% | 26.8% |
| FT Rate | 23.8% | 24.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 55.7% | 57.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 14.4% | 20.3% |
| DRB% | 62.9% | 66.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 27.4% | 27.0% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.