Betting Lines
| Spread | COPP -3.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 136.5 Under |
| Money | COPP -170 UMES +145 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | COPP win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UMES +13 | 131 | Lost |
| Massey | COPP -3.4 (-16.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 133.5 (-2.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 87% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 88% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | COPP -1.1 (-14.1) | 134.6 (-3.6) | 63% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | COPP -3.5 (-16.5) | 135.4 (-4.4) | 64% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | COPP -3.4 (-16.4) | 133.7 (-2.7) | 65% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | COPP -2.2 (-15.2) | 134.4 (-3.4) | 63% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 21, 2026 | COPP 71 – 65 UMES |
| Jan 17, 2026 | UMES 70 – 67 COPP |
| Feb 4, 2025 | COPP 62 – 57 UMES |
| Feb 20, 2024 | UMES 75 – 67 COPP |
| Jan 9, 2024 | COPP 58 – 55 UMES |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | COPP | UMES |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 6-24 | 6-25 |
| Conference | 4-10 | 2-12 |
| Home | 5-6 | 5-7 |
| Away | 1-17 | 1-17 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 61.3 | 63.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 76.9 | 79.5 |
| Massey | -18.1 (#361) | -18.2 (#362) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.76 (#353) | -4.10 (#363) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -3.53 (#359) | -4.86 (#362) |
| RPI | 0.379 (#356) | 0.365 (#359) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | COPP | UMES |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 38.8% | 39.4% |
| 3PT% | 28.4% | 29.8% |
| REB / G | 30.6 | 31.5 |
| OREB / G | 9.7 | 9.7 |
| AST / TO | 0.70 | 0.72 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 43.4% | 44.9% |
| TOV% | 21.9% | 19.7% |
| ORB% | 26.5% | 26.1% |
| FT Rate | 25.1% | 23.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 56.4% | 55.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.1% | 15.5% |
| DRB% | 67.2% | 65.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.7% | 28.2% |
Game Analysis
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