Betting Lines
| Spread | MORE -1.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 130.5 Over |
| Money | WIU -105 MORE -115 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WIU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WIU +5 | 139 | Won |
| Massey | MORE -0.1 (+5.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 131.3 (+7.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 27% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 27% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MORE -0.5 (+5.5) | 134.7 (+4.3) | 48% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MORE -2.1 (+7.1) | 131.1 (+7.9) | 41% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MORE -0.4 (+5.4) | 133.5 (+5.5) | 45% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | MORE -0.5 (+5.5) | 133.9 (+5.1) | 48% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 21, 2026 | MORE 81 – 59 WIU |
| Jan 23, 2026 | MORE 71 – 66 WIU |
| Jan 17, 2025 | MORE 51 – 47 WIU |
| Feb 23, 2024 | MORE 78 – 57 WIU |
| Jan 27, 2024 | MORE 64 – 50 WIU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | WIU | MORE |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 12-19 | 15-17 |
| Conference | 6-14 | 10-10 |
| Home | 8-7 | 9-5 |
| Away | 4-11 | 6-10 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 0-2 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 1-4 |
| Streak | W2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 66.6 | 63.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.3 | 69.8 |
| Massey | -12.9 (#345) | -9.7 (#315) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.44 (#343) | -0.87 (#250) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -3.41 (#353) | -1.74 (#294) |
| RPI | 0.384 (#349) | 0.479 (#217) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | WIU | MORE |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.4% | 41.2% |
| 3PT% | 36.7% | 31.6% |
| REB / G | 32.5 | 35.6 |
| OREB / G | 10.0 | 10.9 |
| AST / TO | 0.80 | 0.87 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.2% | 46.3% |
| TOV% | 18.2% | 18.9% |
| ORB% | 29.3% | 31.1% |
| FT Rate | 17.8% | 26.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.4% | 50.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 14.6% | 14.2% |
| DRB% | 67.8% | 74.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.5% | 23.8% |
Game Analysis
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