Betting Lines
| Spread | LIU -5.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 116.5 Under |
| Money | LIU -300 WAG +250 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | LIU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | LIU +13 | 107 | Won |
| Massey | LIU -6.8 (+6.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 114.4 (-7.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 72% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 81% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | LIU -4.9 (+8.1) | 123.8 (-16.8) | 61% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | LIU -3.5 (+9.5) | 120.2 (-13.2) | 61% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | LIU -4.3 (+8.7) | 122.2 (-15.2) | 68% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | LIU -4.7 (+8.3) | 122.2 (-15.2) | 64% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 7, 2026 | LIU 64 – 56 WAG |
| Feb 17, 2026 | LIU 83 – 65 WAG |
| Feb 13, 2026 | LIU 67 – 57 WAG |
| Feb 7, 2025 | LIU 60 – 47 WAG |
| Feb 25, 2024 | WAG 72 – 57 LIU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | LIU | WAG |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-16 | 14-16 |
| Conference | 12-4 | 6-10 |
| Home | 10-5 | 8-6 |
| Away | 7-9 | 6-10 |
| Neutral | 0-2 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 65.5 | 57.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 66.5 | 63.0 |
| Massey | -8.4 (#301) | -12.0 (#338) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.31 (#290) | -1.70 (#320) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.74 (#295) | -2.52 (#329) |
| RPI | 0.454 (#269) | 0.427 (#316) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | LIU | WAG |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.5% | 38.2% |
| 3PT% | 30.4% | 33.4% |
| REB / G | 34.0 | 33.7 |
| OREB / G | 10.7 | 11.1 |
| AST / TO | 0.82 | 0.93 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.6% | 44.4% |
| TOV% | 20.1% | 19.4% |
| ORB% | 31.2% | 31.8% |
| FT Rate | 19.7% | 21.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.6% | 50.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.4% | 17.9% |
| DRB% | 71.9% | 74.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 33.4% | 29.1% |
Game Analysis
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