We're only making plans for Nigel. "Making Plans for Nigel" - XTC
West Coast Conference · Beasley Coliseum · February 28, 2025
Betting Lines
Spread WSU -11.5 Away covered
O/U 157.5 Over
Money WSU -700 / USD +450
Model Predictions
Spread Total WSU win
Actual WSU +7 179 Won
Massey WSU -15.5 (-8.5) — —
Massey Totals — 156.3 (+22.7) —
Bradley-Terry — — 98% ✓
Weighted B-T — — 99% ✓
Efficiency Plus ML ★ WSU -14.6 (-7.6) 156.3 (+22.7) 87% ✓
Baseline Tuned ML WSU -12.4 (-5.4) 155.1 (+23.9) 87% ✓
Baseline ML WSU -12.9 (-5.9) 155.6 (+23.4) 87% ✓
Baseline Plus ML WSU -12.1 (-5.1) 156.7 (+22.3) 86% ✓

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Jan 22, 2026 USD 96 – 92 WSU
Jan 17, 2025 WSU 65 – 61 USD

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings WSU USD
Overall 19-15 6-27
Conference 8-10 2-16
Home 10-4 5-13
Away 5-7 0-12
Neutral 4-4 1-2
Last 5 1-4 0-5
Streak L2 L1
Avg Pts For 78.9 70.2
Avg Pts Against 78.6 80.2
Massey 3.5 (#109) -8.8 (#308)
Bradley-Terry 0.82 (#106) -2.78 (#355)
W. Bradley-Terry 1.26 (#90) -2.87 (#343)
RPI 0.524 (#134) 0.387 (#352)
Shooting & Four Factors WSU USD
FG% 48.7% 39.8%
3PT% 35.9% 28.2%
REB / G 33.6 35.0
OREB / G 9.8 11.5
AST / TO 1.10 0.84
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 56.2% 44.9%
TOV% 20.7% 18.4%
ORB% 31.4% 29.7%
FT Rate 23.0% 23.1%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 51.7% 52.6%
Opp TOV% 17.1% 17.8%
DRB% 67.4% 68.4%
Opp FT Rate 23.1% 34.6%

Game Analysis

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