Betting Lines
| Spread | WSU -1.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 152.5 Over |
| Money | USD +102 WSU -122 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | USD win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | USD +4 | 188 | Won |
| Massey | WSU -1.8 (+5.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 152.7 (+35.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 46% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 40% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | WSU -3.2 (+7.2) | 146.4 (+41.6) | 43% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | WSU -1.3 (+5.3) | 146.7 (+41.3) | 46% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | WSU -1.4 (+5.4) | 147.5 (+40.5) | 47% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WSU -1.4 (+5.4) | 147.5 (+40.5) | 46% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 28, 2025 | WSU 93 – 86 USD |
| Jan 17, 2025 | WSU 65 – 61 USD |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | USD | WSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 12-21 | 12-20 |
| Conference | 5-13 | 7-11 |
| Home | 9-8 | 9-6 |
| Away | 2-11 | 2-11 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 1-3 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L4 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.8 | 75.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 78.8 | 77.3 |
| Massey | -3.4 (#222) | 1.7 (#144) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.65 (#227) | 0.06 (#172) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.82 (#226) | 0.22 (#150) |
| RPI | 0.453 (#259) | 0.504 (#171) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | USD | WSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.3% | 46.2% |
| 3PT% | 33.2% | 34.9% |
| REB / G | 29.7 | 34.3 |
| OREB / G | 9.3 | 9.6 |
| AST / TO | 1.18 | 0.94 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.8% | 53.9% |
| TOV% | 18.1% | 19.0% |
| ORB% | 26.8% | 29.6% |
| FT Rate | 21.5% | 23.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.5% | 53.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.4% | 14.9% |
| DRB% | 62.0% | 74.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 27.8% | 26.9% |
Game Analysis
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