Betting Lines
| Spread | ISU -2.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 145.5 Over |
| Money | BYU +120 ISU -140 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | BYU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | BYU +4 | 188 | Won |
| Massey | ISU -3.1 (+7.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 151.4 (+36.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 43% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 40% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | ISU -2.6 (+6.6) | 149.0 (+39.0) | 47% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | ISU -2.0 (+6.0) | 149.9 (+38.1) | 45% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | ISU -2.6 (+6.6) | 150.6 (+37.4) | 41% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | ISU -2.4 (+6.4) | 150.4 (+37.6) | 43% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 22, 2026 | BYU 79 – 69 ISU |
| Mar 5, 2025 | BYU 88 – 85 ISU |
| Mar 7, 2024 | ISU 68 – 63 BYU |
| Jan 17, 2024 | BYU 87 – 72 ISU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | BYU | ISU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 26-10 | 25-10 |
| Conference | 14-6 | 13-7 |
| Home | 15-2 | 15-2 |
| Away | 6-5 | 6-5 |
| Neutral | 5-3 | 4-3 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 81.4 | 80.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.6 | 68.3 |
| Massey | 16.9 (#21) | 20.0 (#9) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.53 (#33) | 2.82 (#22) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.00 (#37) | 3.42 (#27) |
| RPI | 0.574 (#52) | 0.600 (#24) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | BYU | ISU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 48.6% | 47.7% |
| 3PT% | 37.3% | 35.5% |
| REB / G | 37.5 | 35.7 |
| OREB / G | 10.9 | 10.4 |
| AST / TO | 1.41 | 1.25 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 57.6% | 54.2% |
| TOV% | 17.5% | 17.1% |
| ORB% | 32.8% | 32.2% |
| FT Rate | 20.6% | 29.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.2% | 47.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.5% | 22.0% |
| DRB% | 74.6% | 71.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.2% | 21.3% |
Game Analysis
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