Betting Lines
| Spread | ISU -2.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 154.5 Under |
| Money | BYU +124 ISU -148 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | BYU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | BYU +10 | 148 | Won |
| Massey | ISU -1.9 (+11.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 160.1 (-12.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 42% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 42% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | ISU -0.5 (+10.5) | 151.5 (-3.5) | 39% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | BYU -0.1 (+9.9) | 151.0 (-3.0) | 45% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | ISU -1.4 (+11.4) | 153.6 (-5.6) | 44% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | ISU -0.2 (+10.2) | 153.3 (-5.3) | 39% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 13, 2025 | BYU 96 – 92 ISU |
| Mar 5, 2025 | BYU 88 – 85 ISU |
| Mar 7, 2024 | ISU 68 – 63 BYU |
| Jan 17, 2024 | BYU 87 – 72 ISU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | BYU | ISU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 23-12 | 29-8 |
| Conference | 9-9 | 12-6 |
| Home | 14-3 | 16-1 |
| Away | 3-6 | 5-5 |
| Neutral | 6-3 | 8-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 83.5 | 82.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.4 | 65.6 |
| Massey | 18.8 (#21) | 23.6 (#6) |
| Bradley-Terry | 3.18 (#18) | 4.01 (#6) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.94 (#21) | 4.82 (#9) |
| RPI | 0.619 (#24) | 0.635 (#13) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | BYU | ISU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 48.3% | 50.5% |
| 3PT% | 35.5% | 39.8% |
| REB / G | 39.2 | 36.4 |
| OREB / G | 12.3 | 12.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.35 | 1.72 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 55.4% | 58.1% |
| TOV% | 14.9% | 15.4% |
| ORB% | 34.4% | 36.8% |
| FT Rate | 26.5% | 23.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.9% | 48.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.0% | 22.1% |
| DRB% | 71.5% | 71.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.0% | 18.7% |
Game Analysis
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