Betting Lines
| Spread | BOIS -8.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 153.5 Over |
| Money | BOIS -425 BTLR +320 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | BOIS win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | BOIS +7 | 193 | Won |
| Massey | BOIS -4.5 (+2.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 145.4 (+47.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 78% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 79% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | BOIS -4.4 (+2.6) | 142.0 (+51.0) | 69% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | BOIS -4.4 (+2.6) | 141.2 (+51.8) | 73% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | BOIS -4.7 (+2.3) | 142.2 (+50.8) | 69% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | BOIS -4.5 (+2.5) | 146.8 (+46.2) | 67% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 6, 2025 | BOIS 77 – 68 BTLR |
| Nov 26, 2023 | BTLR 70 – 56 BOIS |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | BOIS | BTLR |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 26-11 | 15-20 |
| Conference | 14-6 | 6-14 |
| Home | 13-3 | 9-8 |
| Away | 6-5 | 2-9 |
| Neutral | 7-3 | 4-3 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.1 | 74.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.0 | 74.9 |
| Massey | 12.3 (#46) | 7.7 (#73) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.98 (#50) | 0.72 (#112) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.50 (#52) | 1.20 (#89) |
| RPI | 0.572 (#50) | 0.504 (#162) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | BOIS | BTLR |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.5% | 45.6% |
| 3PT% | 31.2% | 36.8% |
| REB / G | 36.2 | 35.1 |
| OREB / G | 10.6 | 8.6 |
| AST / TO | 1.29 | 1.26 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.2% | 53.2% |
| TOV% | 16.7% | 16.3% |
| ORB% | 33.0% | 26.3% |
| FT Rate | 29.8% | 27.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.6% | 49.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.5% | 11.5% |
| DRB% | 77.7% | 71.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.6% | 15.6% |
Game Analysis
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