Betting Lines
| Spread | BTLR -2.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 148.5 Under |
| Money | BTLR -162 BOIS +136 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | BTLR win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | BOIS +9 | 145 | Lost |
| Massey | BTLR -10.0 (-19.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 148.1 (-3.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 97% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 99% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | BTLR -10.1 (-19.1) | 144.0 (+1.0) | 81% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | BTLR -8.1 (-17.1) | 142.3 (+2.7) | 79% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | BTLR -10.2 (-19.2) | 140.7 (+4.3) | 82% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | BTLR -9.9 (-18.9) | 140.3 (+4.7) | 82% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Apr 2, 2025 | BOIS 100 – 93 BTLR |
| Nov 26, 2023 | BTLR 70 – 56 BOIS |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | BTLR | BOIS |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-16 | 20-12 |
| Conference | 7-13 | 12-8 |
| Home | 10-7 | 12-4 |
| Away | 3-8 | 6-5 |
| Neutral | 3-1 | 1-3 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 79.4 | 77.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 77.5 | 73.2 |
| Massey | 14.4 (#31) | 9.4 (#62) |
| Bradley-Terry | 3.02 (#20) | 0.63 (#139) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 5.18 (#11) | 1.36 (#110) |
| RPI | 0.595 (#54) | 0.551 (#97) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | BTLR | BOIS |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 50.2% | 41.8% |
| 3PT% | 41.1% | 34.7% |
| REB / G | 44.1 | 36.2 |
| OREB / G | 14.8 | 11.7 |
| AST / TO | 1.33 | 0.97 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 57.5% | 49.3% |
| TOV% | 17.8% | 18.4% |
| ORB% | 42.4% | 33.2% |
| FT Rate | 31.3% | 32.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.0% | 50.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.0% | 18.0% |
| DRB% | 72.5% | 76.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 14.8% | 23.3% |
Game Analysis
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