Sometimes we're not prepared for adversity. "Mercy, Mercy, Mercy" - The Cannonball Adderley Quartet
Atlantic Sun Conference · Curry Arena · February 21, 2026
Betting Lines
Spread QUC -11.5 Away covered
O/U 161.5 Over
Money QUC -750 / WGA +525
Model Predictions
Spread Total QUC win
Actual QUC +7 175 Won
Massey QUC -10.3 (-3.3) — —
Massey Totals — 166.7 (+8.3) —
Bradley-Terry — — 82% ✓
Weighted B-T — — 87% ✓
Baseline Plus ML QUC -10.6 (-3.6) 158.7 (+16.3) 84% ✓
Efficiency Plus ML ★ QUC -10.1 (-3.1) 158.7 (+16.3) 84% ✓
Baseline Tuned ML QUC -9.3 (-2.3) 157.3 (+17.7) 83% ✓
Baseline ML QUC -9.3 (-2.3) 158.6 (+16.4) 84% ✓

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Mar 7, 2026 QUC 71 – 63 WGA
Jan 24, 2026 WGA 74 – 66 QUC
Feb 25, 2025 QUC 72 – 57 WGA
Feb 1, 2025 QUC 87 – 68 WGA

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings QUC WGA
Overall 21-14 15-17
Conference 13-5 8-10
Home 12-2 10-5
Away 6-10 4-11
Neutral 3-2 1-1
Last 5 4-1 2-3
Streak L1 L1
Avg Pts For 84.4 75.3
Avg Pts Against 83.8 80.5
Massey -2.7 (#209) -10.1 (#310)
Bradley-Terry -0.38 (#210) -1.38 (#291)
W. Bradley-Terry -0.58 (#214) -1.95 (#304)
RPI 0.507 (#161) 0.447 (#284)
Shooting & Four Factors QUC WGA
FG% 48.2% 43.3%
3PT% 35.9% 33.8%
REB / G 33.3 35.8
OREB / G 10.4 11.9
AST / TO 1.48 1.12
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 56.6% 48.9%
TOV% 15.2% 15.8%
ORB% 31.2% 31.3%
FT Rate 26.0% 20.9%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 55.1% 54.4%
Opp TOV% 15.0% 15.1%
DRB% 67.2% 69.9%
Opp FT Rate 29.2% 25.9%

Game Analysis

Loading game analysis…

Failed to load game analysis.