Betting Lines
| Spread | QUC -7.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 162.5 Under |
| Money | WGA +285 QUC -360 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WGA win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WGA +8 | 140 | Won |
| Massey | QUC -6.8 (+14.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 167.4 (-27.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 31% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 17% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | QUC -6.7 (+14.7) | 157.4 (-17.4) | 27% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | QUC -5.8 (+13.8) | 164.8 (-24.8) | 27% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | QUC -6.5 (+14.5) | 158.1 (-18.1) | 26% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | QUC -7.3 (+15.3) | 159.1 (-19.1) | 23% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 7, 2026 | QUC 71 – 63 WGA |
| Feb 21, 2026 | QUC 91 – 84 WGA |
| Feb 25, 2025 | QUC 72 – 57 WGA |
| Feb 1, 2025 | QUC 87 – 68 WGA |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | WGA | QUC |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-17 | 21-14 |
| Conference | 8-10 | 13-5 |
| Home | 10-5 | 12-2 |
| Away | 4-11 | 6-10 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 3-2 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.3 | 84.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 80.5 | 83.8 |
| Massey | -11.4 (#324) | -1.4 (#189) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.28 (#280) | 0.11 (#159) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.21 (#312) | -0.00 (#166) |
| RPI | 0.450 (#268) | 0.501 (#177) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | WGA | QUC |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.5% | 47.5% |
| 3PT% | 33.3% | 34.3% |
| REB / G | 35.1 | 34.5 |
| OREB / G | 11.9 | 11.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.00 | 1.48 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.1% | 55.8% |
| TOV% | 17.0% | 15.5% |
| ORB% | 31.4% | 32.8% |
| FT Rate | 21.4% | 25.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 56.0% | 54.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.1% | 14.5% |
| DRB% | 69.4% | 66.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.0% | 27.8% |
Game Analysis
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