Betting Lines
| Spread | CSU -18.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 149.5 Over |
| Money | CSU -2000 DEN +1000 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | DEN +2 | 164 | Lost |
| Massey | CSU -19.8 (-21.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 164.0 (-0.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 100% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | CSU -22.3 (-24.3) | 148.6 (+15.4) | 89% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | CSU -17.5 (-19.5) | 150.9 (+13.1) | 88% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | CSU -20.9 (-22.9) | 153.4 (+10.6) | 86% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | CSU -20.6 (-22.6) | 149.1 (+14.9) | 88% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 13, 2024 | CSU 74 – 65 DEN |
| Dec 7, 2023 | CSU 90 – 80 DEN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CSU | DEN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 21-13 | 15-17 |
| Conference | 11-9 | 8-8 |
| Home | 12-6 | 9-5 |
| Away | 6-5 | 6-11 |
| Neutral | 3-2 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 4-0 | 1-3 |
| Streak | L2 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.8 | 80.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.6 | 84.0 |
| Massey | 11.9 (#37) | -1.6 (#198) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.33 (#30) | -2.09 (#322) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.60 (#31) | -4.61 (#348) |
| RPI | 0.604 (#55) | 0.371 (#328) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CSU | DEN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 52.1% | 46.1% |
| 3PT% | 45.0% | 37.8% |
| REB / G | 39.0 | 31.8 |
| OREB / G | 10.0 | 9.0 |
| AST / TO | 2.02 | 0.90 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 64.7% | 53.4% |
| TOV% | 15.5% | 18.7% |
| ORB% | 36.4% | 27.9% |
| FT Rate | 41.9% | 21.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.0% | 56.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 14.2% | 14.2% |
| DRB% | 78.4% | 68.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.7% | 22.0% |
Game Analysis
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