Betting Lines
| Spread | TEM -8.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 145.5 Over |
| Money | PRIN +310 TEM -395 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | PRIN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | TEM +4 | 154 | Lost |
| Massey | TEM -5.8 (+1.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 152.2 (+1.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 56% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 55% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | TEM -5.0 (+1.0) | 143.4 (+10.6) | 33% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | TEM -2.5 (-1.5) | 142.4 (+11.6) | 37% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | TEM -4.1 (+0.1) | 142.7 (+11.3) | 33% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | TEM -3.7 (-0.3) | 144.9 (+9.1) | 31% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 23, 2025 | TEM 65 – 61 PRIN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | PRIN | TEM |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 9-20 | 16-16 |
| Conference | 5-9 | 8-10 |
| Home | 8-4 | 10-6 |
| Away | 1-12 | 5-6 |
| Neutral | 0-4 | 1-4 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.5 | 73.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.4 | 71.2 |
| Massey | -6.8 (#281) | -1.0 (#197) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.75 (#242) | -0.98 (#260) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.10 (#238) | -1.32 (#251) |
| RPI | 0.466 (#236) | 0.460 (#241) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | PRIN | TEM |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 38.4% | 45.8% |
| 3PT% | 29.9% | 36.4% |
| REB / G | 35.7 | 36.6 |
| OREB / G | 10.5 | 11.4 |
| AST / TO | 0.76 | 1.86 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 45.5% | 52.3% |
| TOV% | 21.3% | 10.9% |
| ORB% | 27.0% | 31.7% |
| FT Rate | 29.7% | 28.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 54.5% | 53.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.8% | 14.4% |
| DRB% | 75.5% | 75.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 28.5% | 20.2% |
Game Analysis
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