Betting Lines
| Spread | TEM -8.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 139.5 Under |
| Money | TEM -470 PRIN +360 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | TEM win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | TEM +4 | 126 | Won |
| Massey | TEM -11.7 (-7.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 146.7 (-20.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 94% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 97% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | TEM -11.5 (-7.5) | 139.7 (-13.7) | 73% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | TEM -7.7 (-3.7) | 139.3 (-13.3) | 79% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | TEM -10.0 (-6.0) | 139.4 (-13.4) | 82% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | TEM -10.4 (-6.4) | 138.9 (-12.9) | 71% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 26, 2025 | TEM 79 – 75 PRIN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | TEM | PRIN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-16 | 9-20 |
| Conference | 8-10 | 5-9 |
| Home | 10-6 | 8-4 |
| Away | 5-6 | 1-12 |
| Neutral | 1-4 | 0-4 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.0 | 67.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.2 | 72.4 |
| Massey | -0.0 (#174) | -7.5 (#282) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.01 (#174) | -2.07 (#325) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.35 (#152) | -2.41 (#309) |
| RPI | 0.494 (#179) | 0.400 (#325) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | TEM | PRIN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.2% | 39.9% |
| 3PT% | 37.6% | 32.2% |
| REB / G | 32.8 | 33.8 |
| OREB / G | 8.7 | 9.7 |
| AST / TO | 1.45 | 0.97 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.2% | 47.7% |
| TOV% | 13.0% | 18.9% |
| ORB% | 26.8% | 26.2% |
| FT Rate | 34.8% | 23.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.7% | 53.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 14.6% | 15.1% |
| DRB% | 69.7% | 77.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.0% | 30.4% |
Game Analysis
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