Betting Lines
| Spread | SELA -6.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 141.5 Over |
| Money | GWEB +260 SELA -325 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | GWEB win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SELA +8 | 144 | Lost |
| Massey | SELA -10.9 (+2.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 138.5 (+5.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 61% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 78% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SELA -6.6 (-1.4) | 132.8 (+11.2) | 21% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SELA -5.8 (-2.2) | 135.0 (+9.0) | 26% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SELA -5.4 (-2.6) | 133.1 (+10.9) | 22% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SELA -6.0 (-2.0) | 134.5 (+9.5) | 22% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 26, 2024 | GWEB 73 – 69 SELA |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | GWEB | SELA |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 4-29 | 9-22 |
| Conference | 1-15 | 6-16 |
| Home | 3-10 | 5-7 |
| Away | 0-16 | 2-15 |
| Neutral | 1-3 | 2-0 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L1 | W1 |
| Avg Pts For | 66.2 | 64.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 86.7 | 71.3 |
| Massey | -17.6 (#358) | -6.7 (#275) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.18 (#321) | -2.63 (#338) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -3.16 (#314) | -4.40 (#340) |
| RPI | 0.405 (#313) | 0.369 (#338) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | GWEB | SELA |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 38.5% | 35.5% |
| 3PT% | 30.4% | 22.2% |
| REB / G | 31.0 | 30.0 |
| OREB / G | 10.0 | 10.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.68 | 0.90 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 44.9% | 40.4% |
| TOV% | 21.5% | 17.9% |
| ORB% | 25.6% | 24.5% |
| FT Rate | 18.7% | 23.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 60.8% | 54.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.7% | 20.4% |
| DRB% | 62.7% | 69.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.1% | 35.9% |
Game Analysis
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