Betting Lines
| Spread | GWEB -3.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 138.5 Over |
| Money | GWEB -160 SELA +135 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | GWEB win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | GWEB +4 | 142 | Won |
| Massey | GWEB -6.9 (-2.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 139.0 (+3.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 87% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 94% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | GWEB -5.9 (-1.9) | 137.7 (+4.3) | 72% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | GWEB -4.1 (-0.1) | 138.7 (+3.3) | 68% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | GWEB -4.0 (+0.0) | 139.0 (+3.0) | 65% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | GWEB -4.0 (+0.0) | 137.7 (+4.3) | 64% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 28, 2025 | SELA 76 – 68 GWEB |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | GWEB | SELA |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 11-20 | 18-14 |
| Conference | 5-11 | 12-8 |
| Home | 5-6 | 8-4 |
| Away | 3-13 | 9-8 |
| Neutral | 3-1 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 1-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L4 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.8 | 71.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 78.1 | 70.6 |
| Massey | 5.6 (#88) | -1.3 (#188) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.26 (#88) | -0.65 (#230) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.49 (#107) | -1.30 (#247) |
| RPI | 0.598 (#62) | 0.497 (#180) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | GWEB | SELA |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.4% | 41.8% |
| 3PT% | 34.5% | 32.9% |
| REB / G | 34.6 | 32.5 |
| OREB / G | 10.4 | 8.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.67 | 0.91 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.6% | 47.8% |
| TOV% | 22.5% | 19.7% |
| ORB% | 32.3% | 22.7% |
| FT Rate | 22.7% | 17.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.4% | 50.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 14.4% | 18.2% |
| DRB% | 69.5% | 66.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.0% | 26.4% |
Game Analysis
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