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Adjusted Efficiency (classic) — Schedule
Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.
2–2 on winners
spread MAE 20.2
4 games
| Matchup | Spread | Total | Home win | Result | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Cal State Northridge
@
Le Moyne
|
+21.7 | 147.7 | 98% | 97–75 | ✗ |
Columbia
@
Villanova
|
+9.2 | 148.5 | 80% | 90–80 | ✗ |
East Texas A&M
@
South Dakota
|
+17.9 | 158.8 | 95% | 83–91 | ✓ |
Robert Morris
@
Delaware
|
+11.9 | 151.0 | 86% | 77–81 | ✓ |
Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.