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Adjusted Efficiency (classic) — Schedule
Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.
2–2 on winners
spread MAE 9.1
4 games
| Matchup | Spread | Total | Home win | Result | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Eastern Illinois
@
Little Rock
|
+10.4 | 128.5 | 83% | 56–54 | ✗ |
Southern Miss
@
Troy
|
+14.1 | 141.8 | 90% | 61–70 | ✓ |
Penn State
@
Michigan
|
+9.4 | 162.5 | 80% | 72–76 | ✓ |
Bethune-Cookman
@
Alcorn State
|
-4.4 | 132.5 | 34% | 61–70 | ✗ |
Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.